prikaz prve stranice dokumenta Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models
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Scientific paper - Original scientific paper
Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models
Tourism and hospitality management, 21 (2015), 1; 19-31. urn:nbn:hr:191:083283
Baldigara, Tea; Mamula, Maja

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Baldigara, T. & Mamula, M. (2015). Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models. Tourism and hospitality management, 21. (1), 19-31. Retrieved from https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:191:083283

Baldigara, Tea and Maja Mamula. "Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models." Tourism and hospitality management, vol. 21, no. 1, 2015, pp. 19-31. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:191:083283

Baldigara, Tea and Maja Mamula. "Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models." Tourism and hospitality management 21, no. 1 (2015): 19-31. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:191:083283

Baldigara, T. and Mamula, M. (2015) 'Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models', Tourism and hospitality management, 21(1), pp. 19-31. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:191:083283 (Accessed 25 April 2024)

Baldigara T, Mamula M. Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models. Tourism and hospitality management [Internet]. 2015 May 30 [cited 2024 April 25];21(1):19-31. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:191:083283

T. Baldigara and M. Mamula, "Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models", Tourism and hospitality management, vol. 21, no. 1, pp. 19-31, May 2015. [Online]. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:191:083283. [Accessed: 25 April 2024]

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Metadata
Title (english)Modelling international tourism demand using seasonal ARIMA models
AuthorTea Baldigara
MBZ: 233670
AuthorMaja Mamula
MBZ: 280095
Author's institutionUniversity of Rijeka
Faculty of Tourism and Hospitality Management
(Finance)
(Department of Quantitative Economics)
Scientific / art field,
discipline and subdiscipline		SOCIAL SCIENCES
Economics
Quantitative Economics
Abstract (english)
Purpose – The purpose of this study is to establish a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model able to capture and explain the patterns and the determinants of German tourism demand in Croatia. Design – The present study is based on the Box-Jenkins approach in building a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model intend to describe the behaviour of the German tourists’ flows to Croatia. Approach – The proposed model is a seasonal ARIMA(0,0,0)(1,1,3) model. Findings – The diagnostic checking and the performed tests showed that the estimated seasonal ARIMA(0,0,0)(1,1,3) model is adequate in modelling and analysing the number of German tourists ‘arrivals to Croatia. Originality of the paper – This study provides a seasonal ARIMA model helpful to analyse, understand and forecast German tourists’ flows to Croatia. Such, more detailed and systematic studies should be considered as starting points of future macroeconomic development strategies, pricing strategies and tourism sector routing strategies in Croatia, as a predominantly tourism oriented country.
Keywords (english)
Languageenglish
Publication typeScientific paper - Original scientific paper
Publication statusPublished
Peer reviewPeer review - international
Publication versionPublished version
Journal titleTourism and hospitality management
Numberingvol. 21, no. 1, pp. 19-31
p-ISSN1330-7533
e-ISSN1847-3377
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:191:083283
Publication2015-05-30
Document URLhttp://hrcak.srce.hr/140166
Type of resourceText
Access conditionsOpen access
Terms of useLicence Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) icon
Created on2017-03-16 12:35:07